This study presents an advanced machine learning framework for predicting landslides in Moio della Civitella, Italy, utilizing a comprehensive dataset from 2015-2019. Integrating Self-Supervised Learning for Anomaly Detection, Ensemble Methods, Long Short-Term Memory networks (LSTM) for Time-Series Forecasting, and Gradient Boosting Machines for Feature Importance, the research identifies critical temporal and seasonal patterns in landslide occurrences. Visual tools like Time-Series Plots and Anomaly Heatmaps highlight significant deviations and high-preparedness periods, particularly during December to February. Validation through precision and recall, alongside ROC curves, demonstrates improved prediction accuracy. Despite inherent uncertainties and dependencies on data quality, the approach significantly enhances the predictability of landslides, offering a robust tool for early warning systems and risk management strategies, thereby aiming to mitigate the human and economic toll of such natural disasters.

Advanced Machine Learning Strategies for Landslide Detection

Tufano R.;
2024-01-01

Abstract

This study presents an advanced machine learning framework for predicting landslides in Moio della Civitella, Italy, utilizing a comprehensive dataset from 2015-2019. Integrating Self-Supervised Learning for Anomaly Detection, Ensemble Methods, Long Short-Term Memory networks (LSTM) for Time-Series Forecasting, and Gradient Boosting Machines for Feature Importance, the research identifies critical temporal and seasonal patterns in landslide occurrences. Visual tools like Time-Series Plots and Anomaly Heatmaps highlight significant deviations and high-preparedness periods, particularly during December to February. Validation through precision and recall, alongside ROC curves, demonstrates improved prediction accuracy. Despite inherent uncertainties and dependencies on data quality, the approach significantly enhances the predictability of landslides, offering a robust tool for early warning systems and risk management strategies, thereby aiming to mitigate the human and economic toll of such natural disasters.
2024
Anomaly Detection
COSMO-SkyMed (CSK) Satellite Imagery
InSAR
Landslide Prediction
Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) Networks
Self-Supervised Learning
Time-Series Forecasting
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12607/78668
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